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Ceiling Height Forecast
Visibility Forecast
24 Hour Aviation Hazards Summary
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Lowest Expected Flight Conditions

Local Aviation Hazards


Local Area Aviation Weather Discussion

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 220 PM Saturday...

Morning MVFR stratocumulus had lifted all but opposite ends of
th forecast area, PKB and BKW. It should lift above 3 kft at 
PKB in the first hour or two of the forecast but ceilings at BKW
may stay close to 3 kft this afternoon.

Diurnal convection this afternoon will be most prevalent in and
near the mountains. Any thunderstorm can produce MVFR to LIFR
conditions and gusty winds.

Any convection will die down around sunset, but dense fog is 
likely to form again overnight. The fog forecast may need to be
adjusted to account for which TAF sites get rain from a shower 
or thunderstorm, but some fog or mist is still likely even in 
the absence of rain this afternoon and evening at a particular 
location.

The fog will lift into IFR stratus and then MVFR stratocu again
Sunday morning, but this process will likely be faster than was
the case today. A VFR day will then ensue, with less afternoon
convection to follow, compared with today.

Light north to variable surface flow this afternoon will become
calm tonight, and then light and variable on Sunday, all beneath
light north flow aloft.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY...
     
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium

Area Forecast Discussion  

AVIATION FORECAST CONFIDENCE

Updated: 224 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024
UTC 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05
EDT 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01
CRW H H H H H H H H H H M L
HTS M H H H H H H H H H H H
BKW M M H M H H H H H H H H
EKN M H H H H H H H H M L L
PKB M M H H H H H H H H H H
CKB H H H H H H H H H H M H

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
H = HIGH: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.
M = MEDIUM: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.
L = LOW: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.


Local Ceiling & Visibility Forecasts

  • The ceiling height and visibility forecasts below are updated every 6 hours.  Please enlarge the graphics by clicking on the images below to view details and time of the forecasts.  Additional hourly forecast can be accessed here.
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Airport Specific Weather Information & Forecasts

  • TAFs and METARs can be accessed where available from the map below, along with other aviation relevant guidance. For airports without TAFs, hourly weather graphs from the National Digital Forecast Database are provided. This information is intended for situational awareness purposes only.

                                TAF Airport Airports with TAFs        |        Other Airports without TAFs

 

Additional Local Information

Regional/National Information