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Severe Thunderstorms in the Southeast U.S. Saturday; Flash Flooding Threat for the Northern Gulf Coast

Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms appear possible across portions of the Southeast and Carolinas on Saturday where a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) has been issued. A Slight Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook (Level 2 of 4) has been issued for part of the northern Gulf Coast Saturday due to the threat of flash, urban, and riverine flooding. Read More >

Observed Model Pressure Differences

Observation Pressure Gradient Table
National Weather Service, Anchorage AK Forecast Office
Sun May 19 02:10:01 GMT 2024

Time  PAWR- PACV- PATK- PANC- PATK- PAGK- PANC- PAGK- PAHO- PADQ- PAGK- PAGK- PANN-
      PANC  PANC  PANC  PAHO  PAEN  PANC  PAMC  PATK  PAKN  PAKN  PACV  PAVD  PATK 
1803   0.5   1.1  -0.8  -2.0  -1.9  -4.3   2.1  -3.5   3.7   3.8  -5.4  -7.3  -2.8 
1804   0.5   1.1  -0.6  -1.8  -1.8  -4.2   2.1  -3.6   3.8   3.8  -5.3  -7.2  -3.1 
1805   0.5   1.0  -0.8  -1.5  -1.8  -4.1   2.4  -3.3   3.8   3.8  -5.1  -7.1  -3.0 
1806   0.2   0.9  -0.9  -1.1  -1.6  -3.8   2.8  -2.9   3.8   3.7  -4.7  -6.8  -3.0 
1807   0.6   1.2  -0.8  -1.2  -1.7  -2.6   2.7  -1.8   4.0   3.7  -3.8  -5.7  -2.8 
1808   0.2   0.8  -1.1  -0.8  -1.9  -2.4   3.0  -1.3   5.0   4.5  -3.2  -5.2  -2.7 
1809   0.1   0.9  -0.9  -0.5  -1.4  -2.0   3.0  -1.1   5.3   4.6  -2.9  -4.9  -2.9 
1810   0.2   0.9  -0.7  -0.2  -0.9  -1.7   3.2  -1.0   5.6   4.6  -2.6  -4.6  -3.3 
1811   0.4   1.1  -0.5   0.2  -0.6  -1.4   3.3  -0.9   5.8   4.8  -2.5  -4.4  -3.6 
1812   0.6   1.4  -0.4   0.2  -0.6  -0.9   3.1  -0.5   6.4   5.2  -2.3  -4.4  -3.3 
1813   0.7   1.8   0.0   0.1     m  -0.4   3.2  -0.4   6.9   5.5  -2.2  -4.2  -3.4 
1814   0.9   2.2   0.4   0.2   0.0  -0.2   3.1  -0.6   7.5   6.0  -2.4  -4.4  -3.6 
1815   1.2   2.4   0.2   0.3  -0.1   0.0   3.4  -0.2   8.1   6.2  -2.4  -4.2  -3.4 
1816   1.7   3.0   0.4   0.3  -0.1   0.4   3.5   0.0   8.2   6.2  -2.6  -4.3  -3.6 
1817   1.9   3.3   0.2   0.7  -0.1   0.0   3.7  -0.2   9.0   6.8  -3.3  -5.0  -4.0 
1818   2.2   3.6   0.2   0.7   0.0  -0.2   4.0  -0.4   9.3   6.8  -3.8  -5.7  -4.4 
1819   2.7   4.2   0.4   0.4   0.2   0.2   4.2  -0.2  10.2   7.4  -4.0  -5.9  -4.7 
1820   3.3     m   0.2   0.3   0.3   0.1   4.7  -0.1  11.1   7.8     m  -6.5  -4.8 
1821   3.5   5.2   0.1   0.2   0.3  -0.2   5.1  -0.3  12.0     m  -5.4  -7.1  -4.9 
1822   3.9   5.9   0.2   0.2   0.2  -0.2   5.4  -0.4  12.5     m  -6.1  -7.3  -5.3 
1823   3.6   6.2   0.0   0.9  -0.1  -0.3   6.2  -0.3  12.5     m  -6.5  -7.5  -5.2 
1900   3.4   6.2  -0.3   1.4   0.0  -0.4   6.5  -0.1  12.3     m  -6.6  -7.6  -5.2 
1901   3.4   6.7  -0.5   1.5  -0.2   0.0   6.6   0.5  11.7     m  -6.7  -7.6  -5.2 
1902   3.8     m  -0.5   1.8   0.1   0.1   6.5   0.6  11.0   4.1     m  -7.3  -5.3 

 


Forecast Model Pressure Differences

 North American Mesoscale Model

Model Forecast Pressure Gradient Table
National Weather Service, Anchorage AK Forecast Office
Sat May 18 15:30:01 GMT 2024

('    ', 'ETA242', 'Pressure Difference Forecast (', '20240518_1200', ' UTC)')
DDHH  PAWR- PACV- PATK- PANC- PATK- PAGK- PANC- PAGK- PAHO- PADQ- PAGK- PAGK- PANN-
      PANC  PANC  PANC  PAHO  PAEN  PANC  PAMC  PATK  PAKN  PAKN  PACV  PAVD  PATK 
1812   0.9   1.0  -0.5   0.5  -0.1  -1.4   3.1  -0.9   5.2   4.1  -2.4  -2.5  -3.1
1815   1.7   1.7   0.4   0.2   0.4   0.2   2.9  -0.3   8.0   5.8  -1.6  -1.6  -2.8
1818   2.5   2.5   0.1   1.2   0.3  -0.2   4.2  -0.3  10.6   7.2  -2.7  -2.6  -2.9
1821   3.2   3.7  -0.2   1.1   0.6  -0.7   5.2  -0.5  13.3   7.7  -4.4  -4.3  -3.2
1900   3.5   4.7  -1.2   2.6   1.0  -1.2   6.6  -0.0  13.2   6.4  -5.9  -4.8  -3.1
1903   3.6   6.1  -1.1   3.6   1.0   0.3   6.8   1.4  10.6   4.0  -5.7  -4.9  -3.5
1906   2.8   6.4  -0.4   5.0   2.3   2.4   5.3   2.8   5.6   1.3  -4.0  -3.3  -4.0
1909   2.5   6.0   1.0   5.1   3.1   4.9   2.9   3.9   0.6  -1.0  -1.2  -0.8  -2.8
1912   2.0   4.4   1.7   4.6   3.6   4.4   1.5   2.7  -2.5  -2.1   0.0   0.2  -2.0
1915   1.4   3.3   2.0   3.3   3.6   3.8   0.6   1.8  -4.2  -2.5   0.5   0.0  -1.6
1918   1.2   3.3   2.0   1.5   2.9   5.0   0.1   3.0  -4.6  -2.2   1.7   2.0  -1.6
1921   1.9   3.2   0.2   0.5   0.8   1.4   1.5   1.1  -4.1  -1.4  -1.8  -0.8  -2.3
2000   2.0   2.2  -1.3  -0.4  -0.7  -0.9   2.8   0.5  -3.0  -0.9  -3.0  -1.8  -3.1
2003   2.4   1.9  -1.9  -1.3  -1.7  -1.9   3.0  -0.0  -1.9  -0.7  -3.8  -3.3  -4.3
2006   2.3   1.6  -1.7  -1.5  -2.1  -1.7   3.4  -0.0  -1.4  -0.2  -3.3  -3.4  -5.0
2009   2.0   1.0  -1.2  -1.2  -1.3  -1.6   3.5  -0.4  -1.4  -0.6  -2.6  -3.4  -6.2
2012   1.5   0.8  -0.9  -0.6  -0.5  -1.0   3.3  -0.0  -1.4  -0.4  -1.8  -2.4  -6.1
2015   1.5   0.9  -0.5  -0.7  -0.2  -1.1   2.6  -0.6  -0.9   0.2  -2.0  -2.2  -5.3
2018   0.6   0.5  -0.4  -0.9  -0.2  -1.3   2.3  -1.0  -0.0   0.8  -1.8  -1.7  -4.8
2021   0.2   0.1  -0.5  -1.0  -0.6  -1.5   2.8  -1.0   1.2   1.6  -1.7  -1.6  -4.8
2100  -0.1   0.1  -1.3  -0.9  -1.6  -2.7   3.6  -1.4   3.0   3.2  -2.8  -2.6  -4.3
2103   0.6   0.4  -1.8  -0.8  -2.1  -3.0   4.6  -1.2   3.7   3.5  -3.4  -3.1  -4.0
2106   1.0   0.7  -1.7  -0.3  -1.8  -2.6   5.8  -1.0   4.4   3.6  -3.3  -3.0  -4.3
2109   1.2   1.0  -0.8   0.5  -0.6  -1.6   7.0  -0.7   5.8   4.9  -2.6  -2.3  -4.9
2112   1.9   2.2  -0.1   0.8   0.2   0.1   8.4   0.2   7.8   6.5  -2.1  -1.8  -5.1
2115   2.9   3.8   0.3   1.0   0.6   1.6   8.6   1.2   8.0   6.1  -2.2  -2.0  -5.0
2118   4.2   6.2   0.0   0.4   0.1   1.5   8.1   1.5   5.0   3.3  -4.7  -3.5  -4.6
2121   3.4   5.6  -0.5   2.2   0.6  -1.6   8.8  -1.0   2.8   1.2  -7.2  -5.8  -6.5
2200   4.3   6.4   0.2   1.9   1.3   1.2   8.2   1.1   1.6  -0.4  -5.2  -4.4  -5.9