Flood Advisory
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
713 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in New
Mexico...
Rio Chama Below Chamita affecting Rio Arriba County.
.High mountain snow melt and increased reservoir releases will cause
the river flows to become high. Expect minor flooding downstream
from the dam.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
If you are in the advisory area, remain alert to possible flooding
or the possibility of the advisory being upgraded to a warning.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/abq.
The next statement will be issued Sunday morning at 1000 AM MDT.
&&
NMC039-191600-
/O.EXT.KABQ.FL.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-240522T0600Z/
/CMTN5.N.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
713 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
...FLOOD ADVISORY FOR A DAM FLOODGATE RELEASE NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Flooding caused by upstream dam release continues.
* WHERE...Rio Chama below Chamita.
* WHEN...Until early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 5.5 feet, Bankfull stage. Properties immediately
adjacent to the river upstream of the bridge on SR-74 and
especially near the junction with the Rio Ojo Caliente may see
water encroach onto low lying areas.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 6:00 AM MDT Saturday the stage was 5.5 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 5.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 5.6
feet this afternoon and then remain at or slightly above
bankfull until early Wednesday morning.
- Action stage is 5.5 feet.
- Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3608 10615 3610 10611 3606 10607 3603 10610
$$
11
Fire Weather Watch
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
105 PM MST Sat May 18 2024
AZZ107>110-112>114-139-140-191315-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FW.A.0002.240520T1700Z-240521T0200Z/
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
105 PM MST Sat May 18 2024 /205 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024/ /105 PM
MST Sat May 18 2024/
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA...
The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a Fire
Weather Watch due to strong winds and low relative humidity,
which is in effect from Monday morning through Monday evening.
* AFFECTED AREA...Portions of northern Arizona, including
locations near Chinle, Dilkon, Eagar- Springerville, Holbrook,
Kayenta, Kykotsmovi, Prescott, Prescott Valley, Saint Johns,
Seligman, Shonto, Snowflake- Taylor, Tuba City, Valle and
Winslow. This includes portions of the Coconino National Forest,
Kaibab National Forest, Prescott National Forest and Tonto
National Forest.
* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 to 15 percent.
* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will have the potential to
rapidly grow in size and intensity before first responders can
contain them.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are possible. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag
Warnings.
Avoid outdoor activities that can cause a spark near dry
vegetation, such as yard work, target shooting, or campfires.
Follow local fire restrictions. Check weather.gov/flagstaff for
updates and livingwithfire.info for preparedness tips.
Please notify field crews of this Fire Weather Watch.
&&
$$
For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/flagstaff
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
143 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR WESTERN NM INCLUDING THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY DUE TO STRONG WINDS, VERY LOW HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE...
.Strong southwest winds will spread over the area in advance of
an approaching disturbance on Monday and mix to the surface given
daytime heating. Humidity recovery Sunday night will be poor to
fair and humidity is forecast to bottom out in the single digits
for much of the area Monday afternoon. In addition, the
atmosphere is forecast to be unstable with excellent mixing.
NMZ101-105-106-109-191300-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0030.240520T1900Z-240521T0200Z/
Northwest Plateau-West Central Mountains-Middle Rio Grande Valley-
West Central Basin and Range-
143 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Fire
Weather Watch...which is in effect from Monday afternoon through
Monday evening.
* AREA AND TIMING...Northwest Plateau (Zone 101), West Central
Mountains (Zone 105), Middle Rio Grande Valley (Zone 106) and
the West Central Basin and Range (Zone 109) from Monday
afternoon through Monday evening. .
* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts to
45 mph.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...6 to 12 percent.
* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended..
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Fire Weather Watch.
&&
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1057 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
COZ058>089-093>099-200500-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1057 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
Scattered thunderstorms over the far southeast plains will move
into Kansas by around midnight, with the remainder of the night
remaining dry. Lightning and strong, gusty winds of 45 to 55 mph
will be possible with storms until midnight, along with some hail
up to nickel size.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Isolated thunderstorms, a few possibly severe, are possible
across the eastern plains Sunday, and again on Monday. Additional
showers and thunderstorms are expected across portions of the
higher terrain and plains Tuesday and Tuesday night. Snowfall
across the higher terrain will be minor, with the risk of severe
weather anticipated to be low at this time.
Periods of warm, dry, and windy conditions are expected next
week. At this time, highest confidence for these conditions to
occur is on Sunday and again Monday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.
$$
10/10
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1052 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
COZ030>051-191700-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
1052 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Scattered showers and storms will develop and move east across
the area this afternoon and evening. The primary impact of these
showers and storms will be gusty outflow winds to around 45 mph,
kicking up some dust and blowing around unsecured lightweight
objects. There`s a small threat that a severe gust as high as 60
mph will occur. Heavy rain and large hail is not expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible across the high
country north of I-70 and over the far eastern plains on Sunday. A
storm system is expected to bring cooler and unsettled weather to
the region from Monday into Tuesday. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms should develop behind a cold front late Monday, with
showers and a few storms continuing into Tuesday. Light mountain
snow is also possible on Tuesday, mainly above 9,000 feet.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight. However,
any reports of strong, gusty winds will be appreciated.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Riverton WY
503 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
WYZ001>020-022>030-191515-
Yellowstone National Park-Absaroka Mountains-Cody Foothills-
North Bighorn Basin-Southwest Bighorn Basin-Southeast Bighorn Basin-
Owl Creek and Bridger Mountains-Bighorn Mountains West-
Bighorn Mountains Southeast-Northeast Johnson County-
Southeast Johnson County-Teton and Gros Ventre Mountains-
Jackson Hole-Wind River Mountains West-Wind River Mountains East-
Upper Wind River Basin-Wind River Basin-Lander Foothills-
Green Mountains and Rattlesnake Range-
Natrona County Lower Elevations-Casper Mountain-Star Valley-
Salt River and Wyoming Ranges-Upper Green River Basin Foothills-
Upper Green River Basin-South Lincoln County-
Rock Springs and Green River-Flaming Gorge-East Sweetwater County-
503 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Western and Central Wyoming.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected for much of
central and southern Wyoming today.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Elevated fire weather conditions continue on Sunday.
Monday and Tuesday...A stronger system will bring widespread rain and
mountain snow to the area.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
301 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-191500-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-Upper Gunnison River Valley-
Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-Northwest San Juan Mountains-
Southwest San Juan Mountains-Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
301 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Colorado, southwest
Colorado, west central Colorado, east central Utah, northeast Utah
and southeast Utah.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Unseasonably warm and breezy weather will continue today with
scattered showers and thunderstorms developing over the higher
terrain this afternoon. The central mountains along the Divide will
be favored with some drift into the adjacent valleys. Gusty outflow
winds will be the main threat from storms. Showers will linger across
the north tonight with dry weather elsewhere.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Another round of scattered showers and storms will develop across
northeast Utah and northwest Colorado on Sunday with breezy
conditions elsewhere. Gusts of 25 to 35 mph are expected. Showers
increase in coverage Monday and Tuesday as a system pushes through
before drier and cooler air arrives for Wednesday. Additional systems
look to impact the area late next week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hydrologic Outlook
Hydrologic Outlook
COC015-065-241115-
Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
507 AM MDT Thu May 16 2024
...SPECIAL HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT...
This statement is primarily for areas below Turquoise Lake along
Lake Fork Creek, downstream to the Arkansas River confluence within
Lake County.
This statement is valid from May 15 to June 30, 2024.
The potential for elevated river levels and inundation of low-lying
areas, due to increased releases from Sugar Loaf Dam, is higher than
normal for areas along Lake Fork Creek in Lake County.
...OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT 45 DAYS...
In order to make room for anticipated inflows to Turquoise Lake from
snowmelt runoff, and to prevent an uncontrolled spill from Sugar
Loaf Dam, The U.S. Bureau of Reclamation will increase reservoir
releases to 450 cfs beginning Wednesday May 15 and continuing
through June 30, 2024.
This release is expected to continue to inundate and cause damage to
County Road 5 in Lake County.
Local authorities and the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation have been
actively notifying those downstream of Sugar Loaf Dam of these
anticipated impacts that could last through late June, and
mitigation measures to help fortify County Road 5 and other areas
are currently being made.
At this time, no additional flooding or impacts are expected further
downstream along Lake Fork Creek, or beyond its confluence with the
Arkansas River. Please continue to heed all road closures and
additional orders from local law enforcement and emergency
management.
...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...
For the latest information on reservoir conditions and releases from
Sugar Loaf Dam at Turquoise Lake, please contact Anna Perea, Public
Affairs Specialist with the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, at
aperea@usbr.gov
For the latest weather information and alert notifications for Lake
County, visit our web site at weather.gov/pub
For more hydrologic information including graphs of probabilistic
river outlooks and forecasts, visit the National Water Prediction
Service page at water.noaa.gov
$$
JML
