Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
708 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
COZ097>099-190145-
Springfield Vicinity/Baca County CO-Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County CO-
Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County CO-
708 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL PROWERS...
NORTHWESTERN BACA AND SOUTHEASTERN BENT COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM
MDT...
At 708 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 21
miles west of Two Buttes Reservoir, or 29 miles southwest of Lamar,
moving northeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central
Prowers, northwestern Baca and southeastern Bent Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3764 10295 3775 10308 3808 10282 3785 10254
TIME...MOT...LOC 0108Z 223DEG 31KT 3776 10296
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
$$
mw
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
700 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
COZ086-089-190130-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-Crowley County CO-
700 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN CROWLEY AND NORTHEASTERN
PUEBLO COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM MDT...
At 700 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northwest of Crowley, or 30 miles east of Pueblo Airport,
moving northeast at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Ordway.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3817 10399 3833 10408 3849 10378 3825 10363
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 245DEG 14KT 3829 10395
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH
$$
mw
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
340 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-192045-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant-
Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-
Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
340 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024 /240 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central Nebraska.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Scattered thunderstorms will develop across far southwest Nebraska
late this evening, then spread into the Sandhills overnight. The
threat of severe weather appears low at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Scattered storms will affect the region throughout the day Sunday as
well, with some continuing into Sunday night. Some of the storms may
be strong or severe during the afternoon and evening hours,
primarily for areas south of Highway 2 and west of Highway 83. Large
hail and damaging winds are the main concerns.
A potentially more potent system crosses the Plains Monday into
Tuesday, bringing rounds of heavy rain to the region. The threat for
widespread or serious flooding is low, but localized flash flooding
is possible and low lying areas will be susceptible to standing
water. A few of the storms may produce hail and wind for portions of
southwest and central Nebraska on Monday, roughly from Imperial to
North Platte to O`Neill and points east.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1238 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-191845-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-
Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
1238 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024 /138 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024/
This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
Showers and thunderstorms will develop along the Colorado Front
Range and Palmer Divide late this afternoon. Thunderstorms are
expected to increase in coverage and progress eastward into western
Kansas this evening and overnight. A few severe storms are possible,
mainly between 7 PM and 3 AM MDT. While wind gusts up to 65 mph
appear to be the primary severe weather hazard, a few instances of
quarter size hail cannot be ruled out. Torrential rainfall can be
expected in association with any storms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
Severe thunderstorms capable of producing very large hail and
damaging winds are possible over portions of northwest Kansas and
southwest Nebraska on Sunday, mainly between 3 PM and 9 PM MDT.
Thunderstorm coverage and severe weather potential increase with
eastern extent into central Kansas. In other words, areas located
along and east of Highway 283 appear to be most at-risk.
Severe thunderstorm potential continues Monday into Monday night,
with large hail, damaging winds and torrential rainfall the primary
hazards.
Frost is possible over portions of northeast Colorado Wednesday
morning. Those with gardening or agricultural interests will want to
stay up to date with the latest forecast for this potential.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are encouraged to report any severe or significant weather
to the National Weather Service in Goodland via social media or
telephone.
$$
Vincent
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1133 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
COZ058>089-093>099-191745-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1133 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Scattered thunderstorms will form over the mountains early this
afternoon with most of the activity occurring north of highway 50.
The thunderstorm activity will then move east and move across the
greater Pikes Peak region during the mid to late afternoon time
period. The storms will then continue to move across the far
eastern plains this evening, with most of the activity remaining
north of a line from La junta to Springfield.
Strong gusty winds of 45 to 55 mph will be possible, with local
gusts to 60 mph possible, especially over the far eastern plains.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Isolated thunderstorms, a few possibly severe, are possible
across the eastern plains Sunday, and again on Monday. Additional
showers and thunderstorms are expected across portions of the
higher terrain and plains Tuesday and Tuesday night. Snowfall
across the higher terrain will be minor, with the risk of severe
weather anticipated to be low at this time.
Periods of warm, dry, and windy conditions are expected next
week. At this time, highest confidence for these conditions to
occur is on Sunday and again Monday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.
$$
34/34
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1052 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
COZ030>051-191700-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
1052 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Scattered showers and storms will develop and move east across
the area this afternoon and evening. The primary impact of these
showers and storms will be gusty outflow winds to around 45 mph,
kicking up some dust and blowing around unsecured lightweight
objects. There`s a small threat that a severe gust as high as 60
mph will occur. Heavy rain and large hail is not expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible across the high
country north of I-70 and over the far eastern plains on Sunday. A
storm system is expected to bring cooler and unsettled weather to
the region from Monday into Tuesday. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms should develop behind a cold front late Monday, with
showers and a few storms continuing into Tuesday. Light mountain
snow is also possible on Tuesday, mainly above 9,000 feet.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight. However,
any reports of strong, gusty winds will be appreciated.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
301 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-191500-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-Upper Gunnison River Valley-
Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-Northwest San Juan Mountains-
Southwest San Juan Mountains-Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
301 AM MDT Sat May 18 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Colorado, southwest
Colorado, west central Colorado, east central Utah, northeast Utah
and southeast Utah.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Unseasonably warm and breezy weather will continue today with
scattered showers and thunderstorms developing over the higher
terrain this afternoon. The central mountains along the Divide will
be favored with some drift into the adjacent valleys. Gusty outflow
winds will be the main threat from storms. Showers will linger across
the north tonight with dry weather elsewhere.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Another round of scattered showers and storms will develop across
northeast Utah and northwest Colorado on Sunday with breezy
conditions elsewhere. Gusts of 25 to 35 mph are expected. Showers
increase in coverage Monday and Tuesday as a system pushes through
before drier and cooler air arrives for Wednesday. Additional systems
look to impact the area late next week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hydrologic Outlook
Hydrologic Outlook
COC015-065-241115-
Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
507 AM MDT Thu May 16 2024
...SPECIAL HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT...
This statement is primarily for areas below Turquoise Lake along
Lake Fork Creek, downstream to the Arkansas River confluence within
Lake County.
This statement is valid from May 15 to June 30, 2024.
The potential for elevated river levels and inundation of low-lying
areas, due to increased releases from Sugar Loaf Dam, is higher than
normal for areas along Lake Fork Creek in Lake County.
...OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT 45 DAYS...
In order to make room for anticipated inflows to Turquoise Lake from
snowmelt runoff, and to prevent an uncontrolled spill from Sugar
Loaf Dam, The U.S. Bureau of Reclamation will increase reservoir
releases to 450 cfs beginning Wednesday May 15 and continuing
through June 30, 2024.
This release is expected to continue to inundate and cause damage to
County Road 5 in Lake County.
Local authorities and the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation have been
actively notifying those downstream of Sugar Loaf Dam of these
anticipated impacts that could last through late June, and
mitigation measures to help fortify County Road 5 and other areas
are currently being made.
At this time, no additional flooding or impacts are expected further
downstream along Lake Fork Creek, or beyond its confluence with the
Arkansas River. Please continue to heed all road closures and
additional orders from local law enforcement and emergency
management.
...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...
For the latest information on reservoir conditions and releases from
Sugar Loaf Dam at Turquoise Lake, please contact Anna Perea, Public
Affairs Specialist with the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, at
aperea@usbr.gov
For the latest weather information and alert notifications for Lake
County, visit our web site at weather.gov/pub
For more hydrologic information including graphs of probabilistic
river outlooks and forecasts, visit the National Water Prediction
Service page at water.noaa.gov
$$
JML
